Hawks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2024, 3:34 PM
  • The Hawks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on KATU | FDSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 5-8 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 7-5 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-4.5 -105O 229.5 -105-185
Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 -115U 229.5 -115+150

Trail Blazers vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Sunday‘s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 29 games (+18.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+16.58 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+15.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 43 games (+21.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 6-7 against the Moneyline (+4.05 Units / 17.96% ROI)
  • 11-2 against the Over for game total points (+8.8 Units / 61.54% ROI)
  • 2-11 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -70.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 5-8 against the Moneyline (+4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-32.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-28.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-19.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 47 games (-17.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.88 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.50 Units / -24% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Hawks are 13-21 (.382) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Hawks were 2-20 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

The Hawks are 13-30 (.302) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365

The Hawks are 8-5 (.615) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Trail Blazers are 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Trail Blazers are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Trail Blazers are 2-22 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers are 4-16 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA. The Hawks have made 13.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. HawksSunday‘s Game, Nov. 17

  • Portland Trail Blazers – No Injuries Reported
  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Hawks have 25.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6

The Hawks averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,295 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers averaged 104.7 points per game (4,292 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (3,736/8,528) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (669/1,661) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 10.5 steals per game (137 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed 16.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,096 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,834 rebounds/177 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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