Hawks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 20

  • The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | NSBA

The Atlanta Hawks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Warriors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 6-9 against the spread, while the Warriors are 9-4 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+7.5 -110O 239.5 -105+260
Golden State Warriors -7.5 -110U 239.5 -115-350

Warriors vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Warriors.

Warriors vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+14.23 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 64 games (+14.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+12.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 7-8 against the Moneyline (+3.8 Units / 14.99% ROI)
  • 11-4 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 40% ROI)
  • 4-11 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).

  • 10-3 against the Moneyline (+6.25 Units / 22.56% ROI)
  • 9-4 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI)
  • 4-9 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.92 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-16.93 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 66 games (-16.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-30.03 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 86 games (-25.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.25 Units / -23% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Hawks are 16-24 (.400) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Warriors are 35-4 (.897) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 20-3 (.870) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Warriors are 28-15 (.651) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Warriors are 26-2 (.929) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Hawks have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/15 games) this season — 6th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks have made 13.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 64.5 points per game (838 points/13 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (209/300) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have made 15.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Warriors have made 15.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed 16.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.4

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (251/633) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (154 steals/15 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/493) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Warriors have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,507 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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