Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 29

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on NSPA | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 34-38 against the spread, while the 76ers are 25-46 against the spread.


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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Philadelphia 76ers U

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+17.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+13.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.74 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 34-38 (-7.8 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 32-41 against the Moneyline (-17.65 Units / -14.56% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.62% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 25-46 (-25.6 Units / -31.9% ROI).

  • 23-50 against the Moneyline (-31.35 Units / -28.44% ROI)
  • 43-28 against the Over for game total points (+12.2 Units / 15.19% ROI)
  • 28-43 against the Under for game total points (-19.3 Units / -24.03% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-34.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 80 games (-27.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-26.74 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-26.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 64 games (-22.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 52 games (-23.42 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games (-21.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.53 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games (-20.20 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-19.50 Units / -25% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 9-30 (.231) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .344

The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat are 5-13 (.278) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 16-27 (.372) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The 76ers are 3-15 (.167) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The 76ers are 6-8 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The 76ers are 29-45 (.392) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (1,789 points/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (8,209 points/155 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (893 points/155 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers have averaged 23.0 assists per game (1,680 assists/73 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5

The 76ers have averaged 22.9 assists per game (802 assists/35 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.9

The 76ers made 12.1 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (277 blocks/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (271 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (557 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 31.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,289 rebounds/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,074 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 9.2 steals per game (725 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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