Heat vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

  • The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | CHSN

The Miami Heat visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago, IL, USA.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Bulls Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 21-26 against the spread, while the Bulls are 22-26 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-3.5 -110O 228.5 -110-160
Chicago Bulls +3.5 -110U 228.5 -110+135

Bulls vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Bulls.

Bulls vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 away games (+15.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 away games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+17.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 21-26 (-7.6 Units / -14.7% ROI).

  • 24-23 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -2.76% ROI)
  • 26-21 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 5.61% ROI)
  • 21-26 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -14.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 22-26 (-6.5 Units / -11.84% ROI).

  • 21-29 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 3.46% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.18% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 70 games (-20.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-20.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 84 games (-18.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.53 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 41 away games (-15.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.20 Units / -31% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Heat are 2-12 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Bulls have shot 37% from three this season — T-8th-best in the NBA.

The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Heat are undefeated (14-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .902

The Heat are 25-10 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bulls are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .248

The Bulls are 6-13 (.316) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .381

The Bulls are 5-38 (.116) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Bulls are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (682 points/129 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have a 20% free throw rate (922 free throw attempts/4,599 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Bulls have 18.4 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Bulls averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,004 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bulls have averaged 116.5 points per game (5,826 points/50 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.2

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (216 blocks/63 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have allowed 56.2 points in the paint per game (2,810 points/50 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.6

The Bulls have averaged 7.4 steals per game (372 steals/50 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Bulls have averaged 38.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,919 rebounds/50 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bulls have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (241 blocks/50 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.