Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 21

• The Celtics are -14.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is 209.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 42-40 against the spread, while the Celtics are 41-36 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 90.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.

Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 59.5% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 away games (+21.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 94 games (+16.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+15.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+13.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 58 of their last 85 games (+27.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 75 games (+22.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+19.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 41 games at home (+18.20 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 63 games (+16.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-40 (-2 Units / -2.16% ROI).

• 47-37 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 0.28% ROI)
• 36-48 against the Over for game total points (-16.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
• 48-36 against the Under for game total points (+8.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 41-36 (+1.4 Units / 1.55% ROI).

• 64-18 against the Moneyline (+7.95 Units / 1.86% ROI)
• 43-38 against the Over for game total points (+1.25 Units / 1.39% ROI)
• 38-43 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -10.3% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:

• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 97 games (-34.20 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.90 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.45 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.00 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-18.15 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-27.10 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-25.70 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-24.60 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.25 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-19.80 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Boston Celtics Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Boston Celtics Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Injury Report: Celtics vs. Heat – Sunday‘s Game, Apr. 21

• Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
• Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision

• Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
• Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out For Season
• Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Neck, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

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