- The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | NBSB
The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 8-10 against the spread, while the Celtics are 8-12 against the spread.
Bet now on Celtics vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +10.5 -115 | O 220.5 -110 | +375 |
Boston Celtics | -10.5 -105 | U 220.5 -110 | -500 |
Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.
Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 68.0% confidence.
Bet now on Celtics vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 away games (+16.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.17 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 100 games (+26.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 69 games (+20.87 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games at home (+17.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 64 games (+16.73 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 99 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 8-10 (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 9-9 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -2.83% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 8-12 (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 16-4 against the Moneyline (-2.45 Units / -2.1% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 100 games (-40.25 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 games (-29.22 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.35 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 56 games (-19.95 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 41 games at home (-19.60 Units / -7% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-25.48 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-21.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-20.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Heat are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have shot 38% from three this season — T-8th-best in the NBA.
The Heat are 37-13 (.740) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658
The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Heat are 2-7 (.222) when allowing 110 or more points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .348
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Celtics are 27-4 (.871) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605
The Celtics are 44-12 (.786) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Celtics are 69-10 (.873) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658
The Celtics are 40-2 (.952) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .685
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,433 points/178 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 53.4 points per game (5,125 points/96 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Celtics have made 17.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (578 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (286 blocks/88 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,826 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Bet now on Celtics vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.