- The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
- Watch the game on FDCH | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Heat vs Hornets Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 7-8 against the spread, while the Hornets are 9-8 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | -3.5 -115 | O 218.5 -110 | -175 |
| Charlotte Hornets | +3.5 -105 | U 218.5 -110 | +145 |
Hornets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hornets.
Hornets vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+14.32 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 41 games at home (+13.07 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 48 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+10.23 Units / 18% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 7-8 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -4.02% ROI)
- 8-7 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI)
- 7-8 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).
- 6-11 against the Moneyline (-1.35 Units / -7.26% ROI)
- 7-10 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)
- 10-7 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 80 games (-25.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 65 games (-24.43 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.57 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 39 games (-19.40 Units / -47% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.20 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.75 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-22.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.20 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Heat are 3-6 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Hornets have averaged 55.2 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hornets are 3-11 (.214) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Hornets are winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,433 points/178 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (160 points/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have 18.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9
The Hornets averaged 106.6 points per game (8,740 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (19,608 points/16,010 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Hornets shot 39% from three (144/368) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (578 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (335 blocks/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets have averaged 6.4 steals per game (316 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Hornets averaged 6.9 steals per game (562 steals/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hornets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (452 blocks/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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