- The Knicks (43-33) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat (40-36)
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
- Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on MSG & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in New York.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Knicks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 28-46 against the spread, while the Knicks are 42-32 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +4.5 -110 | O 223.5 -110 | +150 |
New York Knicks | -4.5 -110 | U 223.5 -110 | -185 |
Knicks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.4% confidence.
Knicks vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.52 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+21.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+19.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 49 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+12.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 28-46 (-22.6 Units / -27.02% ROI).
- 40-36 against the Moneyline (-17.6 Units / -12.22% ROI)
- 35-40 against the Over for game total points (-9 Units / -10.77% ROI)
- 40-35 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 1.79% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 42-32 (+6.85 Units / 8.19% ROI).
- 43-33 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 3.64% ROI)
- 39-35 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.6% ROI)
- 35-39 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.45% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-26.25 Units / -34% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-19.97 Units / -34% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.64 Units / -21% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.98 Units / -19% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-17.13 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 76 games (-25.26 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-25.00 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-24.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-22.80 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.21 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Heat are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Heat are 104-75 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Heat are 18-8 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Heat are 18-11 (.621) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Knicks are 23-32 (.418) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Knicks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Knicks are 28-49 (.364) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
The Knicks are 15-40 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358
Injury Report: Knicks vs. Heat – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 29
- Derrick Rose (Knicks): Rose is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Miami.
- Jalen Brunson (Knicks): Brunson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Miami.
- Duane Washington Jr. (Knicks): Washington Jr. is out for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Miami.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Toronto.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is out for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Toronto and Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against New York.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 109.1 points per game (7,748 points/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5
The Heat have averaged 107.6 points per game (3,658 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Heat have averaged 52.2 points per game (3,707 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 21.8 assists per game (4,893 assists/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,279 assists/ 1,473 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Knicks have averaged 22.3 assists per game (1,559 assists/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Knicks have an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (379 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (771 blocks/225 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (220 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,502 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Knicks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (425 steals/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Knicks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,611 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Knicks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,324 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
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