Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 9

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 52-37 against the spread, while the Thunder are 50-36 against the spread.


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -105O 218.5 -110+165
Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 -115U 218.5 -110-200

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 62.8% confidence.


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+9.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 40 games at home (+27.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+18.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 52-37 (+11.3 Units / 11.55% ROI).

  • 54-35 against the Moneyline (+1.5 Units / 0.78% ROI)
  • 40-49 against the Over for game total points (-13.9 Units / -14.2% ROI)
  • 49-40 against the Under for game total points (+5 Units / 5.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 50-36 (+10.4 Units / 10.87% ROI).

  • 62-25 against the Moneyline (+21.35 Units / 7.2% ROI)
  • 44-39 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.15% ROI)
  • 39-44 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -9.73% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 63 games (-14.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 57 games (-11.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (-30.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 62 games (-25.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 66 games (-24.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 52 games (-22.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

Keys to the game – away

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Thunder are 15-6 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 37-14 (.725) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .590

The Thunder were 20-8 (.714) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, May 9

  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Mavericks have averaged 43.6 points in the paint per game (3,572 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder are shooting 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,954 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.