- The Pacers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | FDIN
The Miami Heat visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Heat vs Pacers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 4-6 against the spread, while the Pacers are 5-5 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +4.5 -105 | O 227.5 -110 | +155 |
| Indiana Pacers | -4.5 -115 | U 227.5 -110 | -190 |
Pacers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the will win Friday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pacers.
Pacers vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with confidence.
Bet now on Pacers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+17.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+17.27 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 4-6 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -7.82% ROI)
- 5-5 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 5-5 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI).
- 5-6 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -19.68% ROI)
- 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
- 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.60 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 99 games (-24.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-23.45 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.50 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 100 games (-19.03 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-22.85 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.25 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-20.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.30 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
Keys to the game – away
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pacers were 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Pacers are 10-6 (.625) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .533
The Pacers are 25-14 (.641) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Injury Report: Pacers vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 15
- Indiana Pacers – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat are shooting 42% from three (78/184) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Heat have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (1,049 points/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Pacers have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,642 points/93 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (3,022 points/175 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (290 blocks/88 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (568 blocks/174 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,145 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 7.6 steals per game (84 steals/11 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Pacers have allowed 57.7 points in the paint per game (5,366 points/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1
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