- The Pacers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | FDIN
The Miami Heat visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 5-6 against the spread, while the Pacers are 5-6 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +3.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | +135 |
| Indiana Pacers | -3.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | -165 |
Pacers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pacers.
Pacers vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+18.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 away games (+15.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+14.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+18.27 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- 5-6 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI)
- 6-5 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
- 5-6 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI).
- 5-7 against the Moneyline (-5.55 Units / -26.88% ROI)
- 8-4 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 4-8 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-30.65 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-23.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.60 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 100 games (-18.02 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-23.90 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.45 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.45 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Heat are 2-7 (.222) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413
The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Pacers are 15-6 (.714) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .464
The Pacers are 12-31 (.279) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .329
The Pacers are 26-9 (.743) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 49.9 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.
Injury Report: Pacers vs. Heat – Sunday‘s Game, Nov. 17
- Indiana Pacers – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (9,261 points/175 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat have averaged 4.3 second chance points per game (47 points/11 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Heat have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (2,172 points/175 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Heat averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (488 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers have averaged 57.4 points in the paint per game (2,756 points/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (291 blocks/89 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (569 blocks/175 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (326 blocks/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (54 blocks/12 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,013 blocks/176 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pacers blocked 481 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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