- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | GCSE
The Miami Heat visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 38-41 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 33-45 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| New Orleans Pelicans | U |
Pelicans vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+22.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+20.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 25 away games (+16.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 38-41 (-7.1 Units / -8.06% ROI).
- 36-44 against the Moneyline (-14.15 Units / -10.17% ROI)
- 42-38 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.23% ROI)
- 38-42 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -9.32% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 33-45 (-16.45 Units / -18.7% ROI).
- 21-59 against the Moneyline (-29.55 Units / -29.08% ROI)
- 44-34 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 7.5% ROI)
- 34-44 against the Under for game total points (-14.4 Units / -16.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 87 games (-34.85 Units / -32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.97 Units / -30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-23.05 Units / -28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-20.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-19.95 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.08 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 59 games (-21.27 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 42 games (-19.70 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.95 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 37 away games (-18.10 Units / -41% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Heat are 31-14 (.689) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595
The Heat are 28-6 (.824) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pelicans are 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Pelicans are 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441
The Pelicans are 9-18 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Pelicans were 42-29 (.592) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (8,619 points/162 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat have averaged 110.0 points per game (8,798 points/80 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 15.7 second chance points per game (1,255 points/80 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Pelicans have averaged 16.5 fast break points per game (1,318 points/80 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (286 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (303 blocks/80 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (583 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 689 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,601 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 55% on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
The Pelicans have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,677 rebounds/80 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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