- The Heat are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on BSDT | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 31-33 against the spread, while the Pistons are 32-31 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pistons vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pistons.
Pistons vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 away games (+25.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 74 games (+21.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 89 games (+18.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 58 of their last 97 games (+18.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI).
- 35-30 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -3.32% ROI)
- 24-41 against the Over for game total points (-21.1 Units / -29.51% ROI)
- 41-24 against the Under for game total points (+14.6 Units / 20.42% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 32-31 (-2.1 Units / -2.94% ROI).
- 12-53 against the Moneyline (-27 Units / -39.27% ROI)
- 33-31 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.54% ROI)
- 31-33 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 77 games (-35.90 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.60 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-16.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-15.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games (-15.70 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 97 games (-30.75 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 74 games (-28.90 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.65 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.00 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404
The Heat are 21-12 (.636) when they win the turnover margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Heat are winless (0-3) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Pistons are 3-15 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Pistons are 3-19 (.136) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Pistons were 8-30 (.211) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
Injury Report: Pistons vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 15
- Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
- Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
The Heat are shooting 45% (2,537/5,644) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Pistons averaged 110.3 points per game (9,045 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (201 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (412 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (169 blocks/53 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (283 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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