- The Suns are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
- Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Suns Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 2-4 against the spread, while the Suns are 2-5 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +5.5 -110 | O 222.5 -110 | +180 |
| Phoenix Suns | -5.5 -110 | U 222.5 -110 | -225 |
Suns vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Suns.
Suns vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 away games (+22.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 away games (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 78 games (+22.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.43 Units / 13% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- 3-3 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -3.65% ROI)
- 2-4 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
- 4-2 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- 6-1 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 27.98% ROI)
- 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 86 games (-34.65 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 80 games (-33.53 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-23.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-21.20 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 64 games (-22.50 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 65 games (-22.45 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-21.20 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.15 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Heat were 32-21 (.604) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729
The Heat were 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Heat are 26-3 (.897) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .800
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Injury Report: Suns vs. Heat – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 6
- Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat have averaged 52.8 points per game (8,979 points/170 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,624/1,947) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (2,075 points/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Suns averaged 46.9 points in the paint per game (3,846 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (274 blocks/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (552 blocks/170 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,118 rebounds/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
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