Heat vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 10

  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | FDN+

The Miami Heat visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 3-5 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 4-5 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+7.5 -110O 218.5 -115+240
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -110U 218.5 -105-300

Timberwolves vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Sunday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+19.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 61 of their last 95 games (+22.88 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 100 games (+11.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 3-5 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -15.92% ROI)
  • 4-4 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 4-4 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 6-3 against the Moneyline (+1.5 Units / 4.3% ROI)
  • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-36.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-25.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-20.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-20.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-19.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-19.20 Units / -25% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Heat are undefeated (7-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

The Heat are 17-6 (.739) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Heat were 17-3 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Timberwolves are 16-5 (.762) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .467

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves were 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Timberwolves are 26-3 (.897) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. HeatSunday‘s Game, Nov. 10

  • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported
  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 1.19 points per shot (419 points/351 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (116 assists/ 43 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 44% from three (91/206) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (1,188/3,053) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (556 blocks/172 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,169 rebounds/173 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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