- The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Watch the game on KATU | KUNP | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 16-20 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 20-16 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | -4.5 -110 | O 219.5 -110 | -190 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | +4.5 -110 | U 219.5 -110 | +155 |
Trail Blazers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 79.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+17.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 away games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 away games (+11.53 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 74 games (+19.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+11.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 16-20 (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 19-17 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 2.42% ROI)
- 20-16 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 16-20 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 20-16 (+2.35 Units / 5.77% ROI).
- 13-24 against the Moneyline (+8.65 Units / 22.47% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.42% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 74 games (-30.60 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 67 games (-22.82 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-19.48 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.35 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-31.63 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.65 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-18.45 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 88 games (-16.65 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Heat are 16-2 (.889) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .281
The Heat are 26-17 (.605) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Trail Blazers are 2-6 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Trail Blazers are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (633 points/118 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,753 assists/ 1,856 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,872 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,204 rebounds/37 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
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