- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on KFAA | FDCH | WFAA
The Charlotte Hornets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Hornets vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 28-27 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-27 against the spread.
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Hornets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Charlotte Hornets | O | ||
| Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.52 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (+12.67 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 82 games (+12.64 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+18.28 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 100 games (+17.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+15.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+15.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 28-27 (-1.75 Units / -2.79% ROI).
- 14-43 against the Moneyline (-15.1 Units / -24.14% ROI)
- 22-34 against the Over for game total points (-15.4 Units / -24.56% ROI)
- 34-22 against the Under for game total points (+9.8 Units / 15.63% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-27 (+0.3 Units / 0.46% ROI).
- 31-28 against the Moneyline (+7.4 Units / 5.85% ROI)
- 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)
- 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-25.27 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 49 games at home (-23.95 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-23.17 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 games at home (-17.33 Units / -33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 79 games (-34.60 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 82 games (-26.43 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.53 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-24.45 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Charlotte Hornets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Hornets are 5-40 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets are 1-19 (.050) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Mavericks are 39-13 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have averaged 50.0 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 7-1 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699
The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Hornets averaged 51.0 points per game (4,184 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2
The Hornets have an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Mavericks averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (485 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Mavericks are shooting 37% from three (733/1,970) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,896 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets averaged 6.9 steals per game (562 steals/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hornets have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,605 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have blocked 336 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,957 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Mavericks have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (381 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (404/1,027) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
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