- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Charlotte Hornets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Hornets vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 27-24 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 29-25 against the spread.
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Hornets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Charlotte Hornets | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Hornets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
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Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 81 games (+20.39 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 81 games (+19.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.72 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 48 games at home (+20.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+17.67 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 27-24 (+0.55 Units / 0.94% ROI).
- 14-39 against the Moneyline (-11.1 Units / -18.96% ROI)
- 19-33 against the Over for game total points (-17.3 Units / -29.67% ROI)
- 33-19 against the Under for game total points (+12.1 Units / 20.75% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.48% ROI).
- 36-19 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 1.39% ROI)
- 34-21 against the Over for game total points (+10.9 Units / 18.02% ROI)
- 21-34 against the Under for game total points (-16.4 Units / -27.11% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (-27.90 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 89 games (-27.05 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.15 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.95 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-21.65 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 75 games (-30.60 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-23.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 78 games (-22.43 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Charlotte Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets
- Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Hornets are 5-40 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets are 3-28 (.097) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .614
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets are 29-18 (.617) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Hornets are shooting 43% (1,998/4,650) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Hornets have averaged 1.19 points per shot (5,525 points/4,650 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (600 points/55 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 31.6 points in the paint per game (1,738 points/55 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
The Nuggets have averaged 20.3 fast break points per game (1,119 points/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,823 rebounds/52 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (308/961) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets have averaged 7.2 steals per game (971 steals/134 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,038 rebounds/55 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
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