Hornets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -12.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | NSBA

The Charlotte Hornets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Warriors Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 22-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 29-24 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+12.5 -110O 228.5 -110+600
Golden State Warriors -12.5 -110U 228.5 -120-900

Warriors vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Warriors.

Warriors vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 34 away games (+22.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 22-33 (-14.25 Units / -23.59% ROI).

  • 14-41 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -3.56% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 29-24 (+2.6 Units / 4.37% ROI).

  • 28-26 against the Moneyline (-3.15 Units / -3.15% ROI)
  • 30-24 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 6.07% ROI)
  • 24-30 against the Under for game total points (-9.05 Units / -15.22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-19.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 49 games (-19.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 91 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 46 games at home (-17.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 61 games (-24.55 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.25 Units / -20% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hornets are 1-17 (.056) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Hornets are 2-9 (.182) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Hornets are 13-62 (.173) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

The Hornets are 17-31 (.354) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 14-2 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Warriors vs. HornetsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Cody Martin (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets shot 45% (1,655/3,654) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets have an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Hornets have 19.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,754 rebounds/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (251 blocks/53 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hornets averaged 7.7 steals per game (634 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Hornets stole the ball 634 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.