Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Mavericks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | KFAA

The Utah Jazz visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Jazz vs Mavericks Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 1-1 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 1-1 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+11.5 -105O 232.5 -115+500
Dallas Mavericks -11.5 -115U 232.5 -105-700

Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 68.4% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+20.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 77 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+10.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Jazz have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 0-2 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Mavericks have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -11.32% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-28.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 69 games (-27.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 23 games at home (-23.75 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-27.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 73 games (-26.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 65 games (-26.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-24.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 57 games (-22.40 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz were 4-5 (.444) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz are winless (0-15) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. JazzMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • Utah Jazz – No Injuries Reported

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (672 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 second chance points per game (1,353 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Jazz averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (1,356 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Mavericks averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (408 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 20.0 fast break points per game (1,641 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz allowed 21.6 fast break points per game (884 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (1,213/3,070) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.