Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | ALT

The Utah Jazz visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jazz vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 38-35 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 34-39 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 34 games at home (+21.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 38-35 (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI).

  • 16-58 against the Moneyline (-25 Units / -33.24% ROI)
  • 43-31 against the Over for game total points (+8.9 Units / 10.93% ROI)
  • 31-43 against the Under for game total points (-16.3 Units / -20.02% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-39 (-8.9 Units / -10.93% ROI).

  • 46-28 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 0.99% ROI)
  • 45-29 against the Over for game total points (+13.1 Units / 16.09% ROI)
  • 29-45 against the Under for game total points (-20.5 Units / -25.18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 72 games (-30.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 games (-26.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 75 games (-26.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 82 games (-19.50 Units / -23% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 3-31 (.088) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .360

The Jazz are 5-32 (.135) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz are 6-21 (.222) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are 22-7 (.759) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have forced 12.0 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Nuggets are 38-27 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

The Nuggets are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .088

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (644 turnovers/74 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Jazz have averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (1,299 turnovers/156 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Jazz have averaged 17.5 turnovers per game (1,297 turnovers/74 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (2,582 turnovers/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 11.0 fast break points per game (812 points/74 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (267 assists/ 107 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 59.6 points in the paint per game (2,266 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,731/3,360) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,020 steals/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Jazz have averaged 6.4 steals per game (486 steals/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Jazz have allowed 9.2 fast break points per game (1,438 points/156 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,661 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (811 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,182 steals/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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