Kings vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Nuggets Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 27-25 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 22-30 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+5.5 -110O 229.5 -115+170
Denver Nuggets -5.5 -110U 229.5 -105-210

Nuggets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 97 games (+25.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 87 games (+22.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 75 games (+20.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+19.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 27-25 (-0.65 Units / -1.11% ROI).

  • 30-23 against the Moneyline (-19.05 Units / -16.33% ROI)
  • 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.03% ROI)
  • 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -9.78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-30 (-11.1 Units / -18.59% ROI).

  • 36-18 against the Moneyline (+8.95 Units / 5.15% ROI)
  • 19-34 against the Over for game total points (-18.4 Units / -31% ROI)
  • 34-19 against the Under for game total points (+13.1 Units / 22.05% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 97 games (-36.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 87 games (-30.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 98 games (-28.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 67 games (-23.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 97 games (-22.35 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 72 games (-38.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (-18.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 28 away games (-16.35 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (-15.15 Units / -12% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings are 25-14 (.641) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 26-18 (.591) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Kings were 12-7 (.632) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 32-11 (.744) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Nuggets are 22-2 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. KingsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Denver Nuggets): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan Ford (Sacramento Kings): Neck, Game Time Decision
  • Trey Lyles (Sacramento Kings): Illness, Out

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (762 assists/ 305 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (360/858) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Nuggets have allowed 12.6 second chance points per game (681 points/54 games) this season — 4th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.