Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 6

San Antonio Spurs logo on the left and Sacramento Kings logo on the right
  • The Kings are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | FDSW

The Sacramento Kings visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 8-14 against the spread, while the Spurs are 11-11 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 79.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Spurs.

Spurs vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.8% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 away games (+17.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+13.83 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 71 games (+28.64 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+23.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 71 games (+20.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 82 games (+12.21 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 8-14 (-7.4 Units / -29.25% ROI).

  • 10-13 against the Moneyline (-15.85 Units / -29.54% ROI)
  • 11-12 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 12-11 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 11-11 (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-11 against the Moneyline (+3.25 Units / 11.17% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-23.93 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.47 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-20.07 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (-44.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 88 games (-34.88 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-26.51 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 43 away games (-23.75 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407

The Kings are 19-25 (.432) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Kings are 9-18 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Kings were 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 4-29 (.121) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Kings have made 13.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.

The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .417

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Kings made 14.4 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Kings have averaged 13.0 fast break points per game (300 points/23 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Kings averaged 14.6 second chance points per game (1,197 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs shot 35% from three (1,036/2,984) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed 11.3 second chance points per game (1,191 points/105 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (725 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (109 blocks/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (139 blocks/22 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Spurs have averaged 7.2 steals per game (754 steals/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (314 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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