- The Kings are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | NSBA
The Sacramento Kings visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Kings vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-19 against the spread, while the Warriors are 20-21 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | -2.5 -105 | O 242.5 -105 | -135 |
| Golden State Warriors | +2.5 -115 | U 242.5 -115 | +110 |
Warriors vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Warriors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Warriors vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-19 (+1.95 Units / 4.19% ROI).
- 24-18 against the Moneyline (-12.8 Units / -13.88% ROI)
- 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.71% ROI)
- 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -2.16% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 20-21 (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI).
- 19-22 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -9.94% ROI)
- 25-16 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 16.43% ROI)
- 16-25 against the Under for game total points (-11.55 Units / -25.58% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 75 games (-25.55 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-23.75 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 82 games (-22.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-21.25 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 61 games (-31.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-21.75 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 44 away games (-15.50 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-14.15 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Kings are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791
The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Kings were 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702
The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263
The Warriors are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .567
The Warriors are 9-1 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780
The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Kings – Thursday‘s Game, Jan. 25
- Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
- Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out
- Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
- Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
- Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9
The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9
The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have allowed 4.6 fast break points per game (569 points/124 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6
The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (286/692) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (865 steals/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 6.5 steals per game (268 steals/41 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Warriors have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,470 rebounds/41 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (155 blocks/41 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (478 blocks/123 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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