Knicks vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2024, 5:56 PM
  • The Knicks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on MSG | SUN

The New York Knicks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Heat Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 1-2 against the spread, while the Heat are 1-2 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks-1.5 -115O 214.5 -110-125
Miami Heat +1.5 -105U 214.5 -110+105

Heat vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Heat.

Heat vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 92 games (+15.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 28 games (+14.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (-1.45 Units / -33.33% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-1 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 9.86% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 62 games (-25.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 61 games (-23.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 64 games (-20.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-18.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-18.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-24.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-24.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-23.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.40 Units / -20% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Knicks are undefeated (7-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Knicks were 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Knicks were 47-29 (.618) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Knicks were 8-19 (.296) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

Injury Report: Heat vs. KnicksWednesday‘s Game, Oct. 30

  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Knicks – No Injuries Reported

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,402 points/167 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (3,151 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Knicks have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (2,709 points/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (271 blocks/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (540 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (269 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.