- The Knicks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | MSG
The New York Knicks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Knicks vs Mavericks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 8-8 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 9-8 against the spread.
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Knicks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New York Knicks | -4.5 -105 | O 233.5 -110 | -175 |
| Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 -115 | U 233.5 -110 | +145 |
Mavericks vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Knicks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.
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Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 42 games (+20.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.77 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 93 games (+23.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 73 games (+16.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.58 Units / 17% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI).
- 10-7 against the Moneyline (-5.1 Units / -11.07% ROI)
- 10-7 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)
- 7-10 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI).
- 10-8 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -1.73% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 95 games (-37.37 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 31 games at home (-27.65 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-27.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-22.60 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.55 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 42 games (-26.67 Units / -55% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-24.20 Units / -33% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 93 games (-23.68 Units / -14% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.10 Units / -41% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericks
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Knicks are 15-6 (.714) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
The Knicks were 29-11 (.725) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Knicks are 35-16 (.686) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Knicks are 28-8 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Mavericks are undefeated (11-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895
The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Mavericks are 6-0 (1.000) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-best in the NBA. The Knicks have averaged 49.5 rebounds/game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,512 points/180 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Knicks have a TS% of 55% on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Knicks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (2,898 points/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/99 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Mavericks have made 11.9 three-pointers per game this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (886 points/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% from three (33/67) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (205 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (62 blocks/16 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,571 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (629 steals/91 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (708 steals/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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