- The Kings are -4.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Watch the game on NSCA | SPEC
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Lakers vs Kings Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 11-15 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-16 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Los Angeles Lakers | +4.5 -110 | O 230.5 -115 | +155 |
Sacramento Kings | -4.5 -110 | U 230.5 -105 | -190 |
Kings vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Kings.
Kings vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+19.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games (+15.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.88 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+7.83 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.43 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).
- 14-12 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -2.45% ROI)
- 11-15 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI)
- 15-11 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-16 (-7.6 Units / -25.59% ROI).
- 13-14 against the Moneyline (-13.95 Units / -21.18% ROI)
- 14-13 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI)
- 13-14 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 games (-43.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 86 games (-30.53 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.36 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.17 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-17.80 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 87 games (-27.37 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.70 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 85 games (-16.88 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.35 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Lakers were 25-11 (.694) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Lakers are 37-18 (.673) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Lakers were 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Kings are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415
The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094
The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Kings are 21-3 (.875) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (520 points/108 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (3,200 points/108 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 1.19 points per shot (464 points/389 shots) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings are shooting 31% from three (143/466) on the road this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,968 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Lakers have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (126 blocks/26 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (811 steals/108 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (366 blocks/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
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