Lakers vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 21

  • The Kings are -6.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | NSCA

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Kings Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 12-15 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-17 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+3.5 -105O 227.5 -110+140
Sacramento Kings -3.5 -115U 227.5 -110-165

Kings vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Kings.

Kings vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 66 games (+20.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.88 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+11.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+7.72 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 12-15 (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 15-12 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.58% ROI)
  • 11-16 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI)
  • 16-11 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-17 (-8.7 Units / -28.25% ROI).

  • 13-15 against the Moneyline (-15.75 Units / -23.28% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (-44.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 86 games (-30.53 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-24.51 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.32 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-18.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.22 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.03 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.77 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Lakers are 33-18 (.647) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 34-15 (.694) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Lakers were 18-1 (.947) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers are 34-12 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Kings are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (530 points/109 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (435 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 31% from three (143/466) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings had a TS% of 50% in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (924 rebounds/27 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,968 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have blocked 590 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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