Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 22, 2024, 12:40 PM
  • The Nuggets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 40-45 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 39-42 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+7.5 -115O 223.5 -105+240
Denver Nuggets -7.5 -105U 223.5 -115-300

Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+22.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+21.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+14.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 99 games (+21.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 96 games (+14.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+12.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 40-45 (-9.5 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 49-36 against the Moneyline (+16.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • 47-37 against the Over for game total points (+6.3 Units / 6.73% ROI)
  • 37-47 against the Under for game total points (-14.65 Units / -15.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 39-42 (-7.2 Units / -7.88% ROI).

  • 58-25 against the Moneyline (+12.95 Units / 4.07% ROI)
  • 34-47 against the Over for game total points (-17.7 Units / -19.38% ROI)
  • 47-34 against the Under for game total points (+9.65 Units / 10.58% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-25.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-23.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 73 games (-14.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 88 games (-14.00 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-35.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 83 games (-27.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-24.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-18.30 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Lakers are 18-1 (.947) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game this season — T-10th-highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 47-22 (.681) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Nuggets are 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. LakersMonday‘s Game, Apr. 22

  • Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Hood-Schifino (Los Angeles Lakers): Back, Out For Season

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (2,759 points/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,163 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 6.9 steals per game (556 steals/81 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4


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