Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 29

  • The Nuggets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | ALT | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 42-46 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 40-44 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+6.5 -105O 216.5 -110+230
Denver Nuggets -6.5 -115U 216.5 -110-300

Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 48 games (+17.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+17.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 97 games (+21.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+13.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 42-46 (-8.6 Units / -8.88% ROI).

  • 50-38 against the Moneyline (+15.8 Units / 8.4% ROI)
  • 48-39 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 5.27% ROI)
  • 39-48 against the Under for game total points (-13.75 Units / -14.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-44 (-8.4 Units / -8.87% ROI).

  • 60-26 against the Moneyline (+13.4 Units / 4.15% ROI)
  • 35-49 against the Over for game total points (-18.9 Units / -19.97% ROI)
  • 49-35 against the Under for game total points (+10.55 Units / 11.16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 94 games (-26.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-24.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 57 games (-17.20 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 91 games (-15.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 98 games (-31.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 86 games (-24.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-17.45 Units / -21% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 23-13 (.639) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Lakers are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Lakers were 4-13 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 27-6 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 50-8 (.862) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 117.4 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. LakersMonday‘s Game, Apr. 29

  • Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Hood-Schifino (Los Angeles Lakers): Back, Out For Season

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (2,759 points/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,497 assists/ 1,094 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,163 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 50% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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