- The Thunder (28-33) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (29-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSOK & SportsNet LA
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Lakers vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 29-31 against the spread, while the Thunder are 37-23 against the spread.
Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Lakers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Los Angeles Lakers | +3.5 -105 | O 227.5 -110 | +135 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -3.5 -115 | U 227.5 -110 | -165 |
Thunder vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.
Thunder vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+16.74 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+16.32 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.36 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 82 games (+32.96 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+20.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 41 games at home (+19.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+16.19 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 75 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 29-31 (-5.15 Units / -7.55% ROI).
- 29-33 against the Moneyline (+3.2 Units / 4.03% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.01% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 37-23 (+11.8 Units / 17.6% ROI).
- 28-33 against the Moneyline (+13.7 Units / 18.03% ROI)
- 34-26 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 8.05% ROI)
- 26-34 against the Under for game total points (-11.4 Units / -16.99% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.55 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 64 games (-23.27 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 82 games (-22.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.02 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 47 away games (-18.61 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 78 games (-17.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 47 away games (-17.03 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 26 games (-15.85 Units / -56% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Los Angeles Lakers are 2-8 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors has shot 39% from three (916/2,377) this season — third-best among NBA teams.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 6-25 (.194) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors has shot 37% from three (2,092/5,608) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams.
The Lakers are 42-66 (.389) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Lakers are 30-15 (.667) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-40 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-64 (.229) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.6 rebounds per game (6,288 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 11-12 (.478) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529
The Thunder are 13-30 (.302) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Lakers – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): The Thunder placed Gilgeous-Alexander in the league’s health and safety protocols.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
- LeBron James (Lakers): James is expected to be re-assessed in two weeks, according to Adrian Wojnarowkski of ESPN.
- D’Angelo Russell (Lakers): Russell did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb 28) game against Memphis.
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (209 assists/ 97 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers have averaged 56.1 points in the paint per game (3,144 points/56 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.1
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (5,153 assists/ 2,956 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Lakers have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,296 assists/ 1,439 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,747 assists/ 2,902 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,054 points/9,330 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,357 points/6,230 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,984 rebounds/56 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Lakers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,810 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Lakers have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (678 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Lakers have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,064 blocks/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (447 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,069 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (268 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have 1,069 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams
Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
