Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 25

  • The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDSN | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 46-36 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 40-42 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+3.5 -110O 207.5 -105+135
Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 -110U 207.5 -115-165

Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+18.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 44 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games (+23.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 55 games (+17.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 46-36 (+6.4 Units / 6.93% ROI).

  • 51-33 against the Moneyline (+4 Units / 2.12% ROI)
  • 41-43 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -6.82% ROI)
  • 43-41 against the Under for game total points (-2.15 Units / -2.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 40-42 (-6.25 Units / -6.76% ROI).

  • 50-34 against the Moneyline (-18.95 Units / -5.96% ROI)
  • 44-40 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 40-44 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 94 games (-27.00 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games at home (-22.37 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-21.95 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-20.62 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 55 games (-19.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.47 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.12 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-20.37 Units / -17% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 0-12 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have allowed 107.9 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Lakers are 31-15 (.674) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Lakers are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Lakers were 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves are 34-13 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.5 rebounds/game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 51-9 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Timberwolves were 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (835 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (367 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,238 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (902 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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