- The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC | ESPN | ESPN+ | DIS+
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 13-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-12 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | +4.5 -110 | O 220.5 -115 | +145 |
| Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -110 | U 220.5 -105 | -175 |
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.
Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.2% confidence.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 68 games (+19.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 78 games (+19.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.88 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.68 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 13-16 (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI).
- 16-13 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -1.35% ROI)
- 12-17 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI)
- 17-12 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-12 (+2.7 Units / 8.74% ROI).
- 15-13 against the Moneyline (-7.15 Units / -12.33% ROI)
- 12-16 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)
- 16-12 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games at home (-27.55 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 65 games (-19.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-17.75 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.25 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-22.92 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.03 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.35 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-16.75 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-15.97 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are 9-4 (.692) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .526
The Lakers are 13-9 (.591) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Lakers are 19-11 (.633) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Warriors are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
The Warriors are 28-17 (.622) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Warriors are 4-2 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .526
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Lakers have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (570 points/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (415/589) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors are shooting 41% (156/381) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,046 rebounds/111 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Lakers have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (999 rebounds/29 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,320 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (525 blocks/110 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 7.1 steals per game (385 steals/54 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,899 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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