Magic vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic are -5.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Magic vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 28-16 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 19-25 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic-5.5 -115O 212.5 -115-225
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 -105U 212.5 -105+185

Grizzlies vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Friday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Grizzlies, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Grizzlies vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+16.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 28-16 (+10.5 Units / 21.76% ROI).

  • 23-21 against the Moneyline (+7.25 Units / 11.69% ROI)
  • 19-24 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.29% ROI)
  • 24-19 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 19-25 (-8.55 Units / -17.63% ROI).

  • 17-27 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 7.31% ROI)
  • 18-26 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • 26-18 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-21.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 26 games (-16.35 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 31 away games (-12.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 73 games (-12.15 Units / -15% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Magic are 3-8 (.273) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have made 13.6 three-pointers per game this season — 9th-highest in the NBA.

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic were 13-29 (.310) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Magic are 8-4 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Grizzlies are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 2-13 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

The Grizzlies were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. MagicFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Orlando Magic): Finger, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Game Time Decision

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic are shooting 34% from three (472/1,379) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,437 assists/ 951 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,326 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 105.2 points per game (1,998 points/19 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.9

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.1 steals per game (356 steals/44 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 7.6 steals per game (959 steals/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic allowed 7.4 points in the paint per game (520 points/70 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Magic have averaged 8.0 steals per game (514 steals/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have 340 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (748 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.