Magic vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Magic are -1.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Hawks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 37-20 against the spread, while the Hawks are 17-39 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+1.5 -110O 223.5 -110+105
Atlanta Hawks -1.5 -110U 223.5 -110-125

Hawks vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Hawks.

Hawks vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 70 games (+19.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 69 games (+14.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+14.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+16.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 37-20 (+15.1 Units / 24.16% ROI).

  • 32-25 against the Moneyline (+13 Units / 14.96% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -4.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-39 (-25.8 Units / -41.99% ROI).

  • 24-32 against the Moneyline (-18.2 Units / -19.54% ROI)
  • 30-24 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 5.84% ROI)
  • 24-30 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -14.61% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 85 games (-32.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 71 games (-25.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 50 games (-25.30 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-24.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 39 away games (-15.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 39 away games (-13.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-13.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 43 games (-13.45 Units / -28% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Magic are 3-9 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Hawks have made 13.7 three-pointers per game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Magic were 4-24 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Magic are 7-11 (.389) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Magic are 14-1 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 7-17 (.292) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

Injury Report: Hawks vs. MagicSunday‘s Game, Feb. 25

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (617 assists/ 378 TOs) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks have averaged 121.7 points per game (6,574 points/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Hawks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (867 points/54 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks shot 48% (3,658/7,574) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,831 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (433 steals/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,036 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic have 433 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,833 rebounds/54 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.