Magic vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

  • The Pelicans are -3.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Magic vs Pelicans Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 48-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 40-32 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+4.5 -105O 208.5 -115+165
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5 -115U 208.5 -105-200

Pelicans vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • No trends found

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 48-26 (+19.4 Units / 23.83% ROI).

  • 43-31 against the Moneyline (+16.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • 32-41 against the Over for game total points (-13.1 Units / -16.09% ROI)
  • 41-32 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 5.9% ROI).

  • 45-29 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 5.27% ROI)
  • 31-43 against the Over for game total points (-16.3 Units / -20.02% ROI)
  • 43-31 against the Under for game total points (+8.9 Units / 10.93% ROI)
  • No trends found
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 38 away games (-16.30 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 away games (-14.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 36 away games (-13.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 28 away games (-10.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 28 away games (-10.35 Units / -32% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Magic were 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Magic are 18-7 (.720) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Magic are 24-1 (.960) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Magic were 20-22 (.476) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pelicans are 27-7 (.794) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. MagicWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,740 assists/ 1,141 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic have 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (506/1,262) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans have averaged 51.8 points in the paint per game (3,882 points/75 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pelicans averaged 7.4 second chance points per game (605 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,590 rebounds/75 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Magic have 1,209 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 8.1 steals per game (606 steals/75 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have 606 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (999/3,009) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.2 steals per game (617 steals/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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