- The Kings are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | KFAA | NSCA
The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 18-13 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-21 against the spread.
Bet now on Kings vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +8.5 -115 | O 223.5 -110 | +275 |
| Sacramento Kings | -8.5 -105 | U 223.5 -110 | -350 |
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.
Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.
Bet now on Kings vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 41 away games (+20.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 87 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 away games (+19.42 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+18.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.57 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 18-13 (+3.7 Units / 10.51% ROI).
- 20-12 against the Moneyline (+2.4 Units / 2.7% ROI)
- 17-15 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)
- 15-17 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-21 (-13.1 Units / -37.22% ROI).
- 13-19 against the Moneyline (-22.3 Units / -30.05% ROI)
- 15-16 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -7.4% ROI)
- 16-15 against the Under for game total points (-0.55 Units / -1.56% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-47.65 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-31.53 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.52 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.16 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 28 games at home (-19.26 Units / -52% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-33.52 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-29.05 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.50 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.20 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks are 45-14 (.763) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Mavericks are 26-2 (.929) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838
The Mavericks are 12-2 (.857) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings are 1-9 (.100) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Kings are 2-12 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have shot 38% from three this season — 6th-best in the NBA.
The Kings were 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Kings are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .900
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (694 turnovers/114 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks are shooting 38% from three (431/1,145) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings have a 22% free throw rate (1,106 free throw attempts/5,010 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,686 assists/ 1,232 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Kings averaged 118.5 points per game (4,860 points/41 games) at home last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have blocked 180 shots this season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (838 steals/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game (1,312 points/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
Bet now on Kings vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
