Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC | SPEC | BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Lakers Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-18 against the spread, while the Lakers are 18-24 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+3.5 -105O 243.5 -110+140
Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 -115U 243.5 -110-165

Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Mavericks and Lakers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Lakers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 70 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games at home (+18.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 97 games (+16.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-18 (+3.25 Units / 7.21% ROI).

  • 24-17 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.26% ROI)
  • 23-17 against the Over for game total points (+4.3 Units / 9.51% ROI)
  • 17-23 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -18.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 18-24 (-8.5 Units / -18.36% ROI).

  • 21-21 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -5.3% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.15 Units / -4.65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 97 games (-34.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 97 games (-28.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 46 games at home (-23.60 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 94 games (-23.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (-33.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-24.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (-20.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 71 games (-20.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Mavericks are undefeated (13-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Mavericks are 20-5 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.4 made three-pointers per game this season — worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 7-8 (.467) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Mavericks are 14-5 (.737) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Lakers are 9-12 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game this season — lowest in the NBA.

The Lakers are 9-12 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Lakers are 8-18 (.308) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Lakers vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Heel, Game Time Decision
  • Anthony Davis (Los Angeles Lakers): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (730 turnovers/123 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 second chance points per game (175 points/41 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Lakers have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (405 points/41 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (281 steals/41 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,645 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,529 rebounds/41 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.