- The Rockets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | SCHN
The Dallas Mavericks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX, USA.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Rockets Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 31-34 against the spread, while the Rockets are 37-29 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +11.5 -105 | O 220.5 -105 | +475 |
| Houston Rockets | -11.5 -115 | U 220.5 -115 | -650 |
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Rockets.
Rockets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.18 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games (+15.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+15.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.73 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.87 Units / 10% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.68% ROI).
- 33-34 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 3.24% ROI)
- 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
- 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI).
- 41-25 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -6.05% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -5.91% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.85 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (-16.85 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (-16.25 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-15.40 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 48 away games (-20.60 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-19.77 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 58 games (-17.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 97 games (-17.18 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.35 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .258
The Mavericks are 3-13 (.188) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 7-27 (.206) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 14.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Rockets are 39-25 (.609) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (930 turnovers/67 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Mavericks had a TS% of 53% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,496 rebounds/66 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets are shooting 40% (342/849) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (378 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,103 steals/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (793 blocks/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,349 rebounds/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (705 blocks/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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