Mavericks vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

  • The Suns are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 17-12 against the spread, while the Suns are 9-19 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Phoenix Suns U

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Suns.

Suns vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+20.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 99 games (+19.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 39 away games (+18.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+17.42 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 away games (+14.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.23 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 17-12 (+3.8 Units / 11.52% ROI).

  • 19-11 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 3.42% ROI)
  • 16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • 14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 9-19 (-11.9 Units / -37.3% ROI).

  • 15-14 against the Moneyline (-4.25 Units / -7.23% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 63 games (-32.12 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.31 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 32 games (-20.16 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games at home (-19.03 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-34.47 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-28.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-18.07 Units / -16% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 11-0 (1.000) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 50.3 rebounds/game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 10-4 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Mavericks are 33-13 (.717) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Mavericks are undefeated (13-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Suns are 52-25 (.675) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Suns were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Mavericks are shooting 38% from three (404/1,073) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns averaged 46.9 points in the paint per game (3,846 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Suns have averaged 1.34 points per shot (12,817 points/9,532 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,092 rebounds/30 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,043 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Mavericks have blocked 165 shots this season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 626 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (626 blocks/111 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.