- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Watch the game on FDOK | KFAA | TNT
The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-9 against the spread, while the Thunder are 14-9 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+20.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+20.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 66 games (+17.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 away games (+15.32 Units / 39% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+22.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 93 games (+12.29 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+9.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-9 (+4.1 Units / 15.53% ROI).
- 16-8 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 7.71% ROI)
- 14-10 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI)
- 10-14 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 14-9 (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).
- 18-5 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 3.99% ROI)
- 11-12 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI)
- 12-11 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.20 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.18 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-18.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 93 games (-14.65 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 79 games (-13.70 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-35.47 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 91 games (-26.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-22.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-17.55 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Mavericks are undefeated (10-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .610
The Mavericks are 31-8 (.795) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Mavericks are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .610
The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Thunder are 9-1 (.900) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder are 35-8 (.814) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Thunder are 10-2 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,117 turnovers/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (835 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (391 steals/54 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Mavericks have blocked 136 shots this season — tied for 6th most among NBA teams
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.1 steals per game (278 steals/23 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Thunder have averaged 9.3 steals per game (972 steals/105 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Thunder have averaged 7.1 blocks per game (370 blocks/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3
The Thunder have 278 steals this season — most among NBA teams
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