Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 15

  • The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 54-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 51-38 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -110O 211.5 -110+155
Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 -110U 211.5 -110-190

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 41 games at home (+25.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 54-38 (+12.2 Units / 12.07% ROI).

  • 56-36 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 1.55% ROI)
  • 41-51 against the Over for game total points (-15.1 Units / -14.92% ROI)
  • 51-41 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 5.83% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 51-38 (+9.2 Units / 9.29% ROI).

  • 63-27 against the Moneyline (+19.4 Units / 6.45% ROI)
  • 45-41 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI)
  • 41-45 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -8.49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-17.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-17.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 60 games (-15.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 66 games (-13.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 92 games (-29.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 65 games (-26.45 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (-19.35 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

Keys to the game – away

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, May 15

  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Offense Stories

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (693 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.