- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 54-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 51-38 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 -110 | O 211.5 -110 | +155 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -4.5 -110 | U 211.5 -110 | -190 |
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 41 games at home (+25.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 54-38 (+12.2 Units / 12.07% ROI).
- 56-36 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 1.55% ROI)
- 41-51 against the Over for game total points (-15.1 Units / -14.92% ROI)
- 51-41 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 5.83% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 51-38 (+9.2 Units / 9.29% ROI).
- 63-27 against the Moneyline (+19.4 Units / 6.45% ROI)
- 45-41 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI)
- 41-45 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -8.49% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-17.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-17.35 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 60 games (-15.30 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 66 games (-13.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 92 games (-29.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 65 games (-26.45 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.55 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (-19.35 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
Keys to the game – away
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Mavericks – Wednesday‘s Game, May 15
- Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season
- Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
- PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
- Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
- Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
- Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
- Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
Away Team Offense Stories
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
Home Team Offense Stories
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (693 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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