Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 7

  • The Thunder are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 52-36 against the spread, while the Thunder are 49-36 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+3.5 -110O 218.5 -115+135
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -110U 218.5 -105-160

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+10.75 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 39 games at home (+26.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 34 games at home (+18.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 52-36 (+12.4 Units / 12.82% ROI).

  • 54-34 against the Moneyline (+2.5 Units / 1.3% ROI)
  • 40-48 against the Over for game total points (-12.8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 48-40 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 49-36 (+9.4 Units / 9.94% ROI).

  • 61-25 against the Moneyline (+20.35 Units / 6.9% ROI)
  • 44-38 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.32% ROI)
  • 38-44 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -10.9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-15.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 62 games (-15.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-11.90 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 88 games (-29.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 61 games (-26.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 65 games (-23.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 games (-22.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

Keys to the game – away

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MavericksTuesday‘s Game, May 7

  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have allowed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,466 rebounds/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have blocked 538 shots this season — tied for most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.