Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -13.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 24-23 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 23-23 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+12.5 -110O 221.5 -115+575
Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 -110U 221.5 -105-900

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Mavericks and Timberwolves, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+13.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+15.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-23 (-1.25 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 26-21 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI)
  • 25-21 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.67% ROI)
  • 21-25 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -12.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 23-23 (-2.3 Units / -4.45% ROI).

  • 33-14 against the Moneyline (+3.5 Units / 2.57% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.5% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.15 Units / -0.29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-25.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (-24.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 62 games (-14.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 72 games (-35.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 71 games (-21.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 77 games (-20.45 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Mavericks are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 21-7 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .743

The Mavericks are 11-4 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Timberwolves are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Timberwolves are 21-3 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 17-13 (.567) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Mike Conley (Minnesota Timberwolves): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (141 assists/ 48 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (579/1,479) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game (711 turnovers/47 games) this season — 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,592 rebounds/47 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (204 blocks/47 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (309 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (273 blocks/47 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (370 blocks/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,011 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.