Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

  • The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KATU | KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 18-12 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 15-14 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-3.5 -110O 224.5 -110-155
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 -110U 224.5 -110+125

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 76.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 86 games (+21.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 100 games (+20.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 away games (+18.42 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 away games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 67 games (+23.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games (+16.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+11.05 Units / 107% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 18-12 (+4.8 Units / 14.08% ROI).

  • 20-11 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 4.52% ROI)
  • 16-15 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
  • 15-16 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 15-14 (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI).

  • 10-20 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 16.19% ROI)
  • 14-15 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI)
  • 15-14 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 83 games (-35.45 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 60 games (-25.57 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 games at home (-17.12 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.67 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 98 games (-27.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-19.22 Units / -17% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks are 18-6 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Mavericks are 20-1 (.952) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks are 34-8 (.810) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Mavericks are 65-35 (.650) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Trail Blazers are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Trail Blazers are 1-5 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (686 turnovers/113 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks are shooting 38% from three (416/1,107) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,722 points/7,356 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,080 rebounds/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (832 steals/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (973 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,641 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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