- The Mavericks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | KFAA | NSBA
The Dallas Mavericks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Warriors Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-10 against the spread, while the Warriors are 15-9 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | -3.5 -105 | O 229.5 -110 | -150 |
| Golden State Warriors | +3.5 -115 | U 229.5 -110 | +125 |
Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 72.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Warriors.
Warriors vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-10 (+3 Units / 10.91% ROI).
- 16-9 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 6.23% ROI)
- 14-11 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI)
- 11-14 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 15-9 (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- 14-10 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -8.33% ROI)
- 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
- 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Mavericks are 46-17 (.730) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
The Mavericks are 57-35 (.620) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .489
The Mavericks are 37-18 (.673) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Mavericks are 29-11 (.725) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Warriors are 14-7 (.667) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Warriors were 9-13 (.409) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Warriors are 12-8 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .463
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (642 turnovers/107 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks had 22.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (358/510) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors are shooting 40% (130/323) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have averaged 1.13 points per shot (366 points/323 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (922 rebounds/25 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (138 blocks/25 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (914 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (219 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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