Nets vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nets
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | YES

The Brooklyn Nets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Nets vs Bucks Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 29-37 against the spread, while the Bucks are 31-37 against the spread.


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Nets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brooklyn Nets+9.5 -115O 220.5 -110+310
Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -105U 220.5 -110-400

Bucks vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nets and Bucks.

Bucks vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+21.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games at home (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 29-37 (-11.65 Units / -15.35% ROI).

  • 26-43 against the Moneyline (-24.2 Units / -24.57% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.25% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 31-37 (-9.7 Units / -12.8% ROI).

  • 44-25 against the Moneyline (-11.05 Units / -4.56% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-28.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-20.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 74 games (-29.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 49 games (-28.00 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 48 games (-23.25 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-17.05 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Nets are winless (0-13) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .152

The Nets are 2-21 (.087) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Nets are 9-17 (.346) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have averaged 12.7 turnovers per game this season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nets are 14-20 (.412) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Nets have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. NetsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Dariq Whitehead (Brooklyn Nets): Lower Leg, Out For Season
  • Jaylen Martin (Brooklyn Nets): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Offense Stories

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 6.2 blocks per game (506 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,387 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nets allowed a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Nets blocked 506 shots last season — most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,808 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.