- The Heat are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nets
- Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
- Watch the game on YES | SUN
The Brooklyn Nets visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Nets vs Heat Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nets are 16-11 against the spread, while the Heat are 11-15 against the spread.
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Nets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brooklyn Nets | +10.5 -110 | O 212.5 -105 | +400 |
| Miami Heat | -10.5 -110 | U 212.5 -115 | -550 |
Heat vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nets and Heat.
Heat vs Nets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Nets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 away games (+13.20 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 away games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.62 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.56 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+9.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 16-11 (+3.85 Units / 12.48% ROI).
- 11-17 against the Moneyline (+10.25 Units / 34.86% ROI)
- 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).
- 13-13 against the Moneyline (-1.5 Units / -3.23% ROI)
- 15-11 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI)
- 11-15 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.43 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.90 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 76 games (-19.75 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nets:
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.45 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.45 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-16.22 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Brooklyn Nets
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat
- Brooklyn Nets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nets are 16-33 (.327) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 12.8 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nets are 4-6 (.400) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Nets are 17-43 (.283) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426
The Nets were 7-25 (.219) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets
The Heat are 18-4 (.818) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nets averaged 1.24 points per shot (9,050 points/7,307 shots) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Nets have averaged 22.3 points in the paint per game (4,196 points/188 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Nets averaged 17.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,411 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Nets averaged 22.8 points in the paint per game (1,872 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,470 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,308 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (482 blocks/95 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (538 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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