- The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on BSWI | ALT | NBAt
The Denver Nuggets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Nuggets vs Bucks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 22-29 against the spread, while the Bucks are 20-32 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -1.5 -105 | O 229.5 -110 | -115 |
Milwaukee Bucks | +1.5 -115 | U 229.5 -110 | -105 |
Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Bucks.
Bucks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 96 games (+24.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 74 games (+21.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+21.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 44 games at home (+9.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games at home (+9.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-29 (-10 Units / -17.06% ROI).
- 36-17 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 5.75% ROI)
- 19-33 against the Over for game total points (-17.3 Units / -29.7% ROI)
- 33-19 against the Under for game total points (+12.1 Units / 20.75% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 20-32 (-15.2 Units / -26.01% ROI).
- 34-19 against the Moneyline (-4.7 Units / -2.43% ROI)
- 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
- 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.85 Units / -13.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 67 games (-22.20 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 60 games (-20.50 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.30 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-18.80 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-35.00 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-29.40 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-27.40 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 66 games (-22.10 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 96 games (-21.30 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets are 35-13 (.729) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Bucks were 7-2 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609
The Bucks are 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Nuggets – Monday‘s Game, Feb. 12
- Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (300 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,269 points/2,281 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Bucks have averaged 1.50 points per shot (958 points/639 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.35
The Bucks have averaged 61.7 points per game (3,269 points/53 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3
The Bucks had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (358 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Nuggets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (351 blocks/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,711) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,220 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
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