Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | ALT | NBAt

The Denver Nuggets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Bucks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 22-29 against the spread, while the Bucks are 20-32 against the spread.


Bet now on Bucks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-1.5 -105O 229.5 -110-115
Milwaukee Bucks +1.5 -115U 229.5 -110-105

Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Bucks.

Bucks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


Bet now on Bucks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 96 games (+24.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 74 games (+21.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+21.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 44 games at home (+9.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games at home (+9.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-29 (-10 Units / -17.06% ROI).

  • 36-17 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 5.75% ROI)
  • 19-33 against the Over for game total points (-17.3 Units / -29.7% ROI)
  • 33-19 against the Under for game total points (+12.1 Units / 20.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 20-32 (-15.2 Units / -26.01% ROI).

  • 34-19 against the Moneyline (-4.7 Units / -2.43% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.85 Units / -13.48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 67 games (-22.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 60 games (-20.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-18.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-35.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-29.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-27.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 66 games (-22.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 96 games (-21.30 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 35-13 (.729) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 7-2 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Bucks are 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Bucks vs. NuggetsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (300 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,269 points/2,281 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 1.50 points per shot (958 points/639 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.35

The Bucks have averaged 61.7 points per game (3,269 points/53 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3

The Bucks had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (358 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (351 blocks/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,711) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,220 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


Bet now on Bucks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.