Nuggets vs Clippers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

  • The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Clippers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on AL2 | TNT

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Clippers Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 34-39 against the spread, while the Clippers are against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-4.5 -105O 221.5 -110-175
Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 -115U 221.5 -110+145

Clippers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 71.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Clippers.

Clippers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.7% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 away games (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 away games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 away games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-39 (-8.9 Units / -10.78% ROI).

  • 52-23 against the Moneyline (+14.45 Units / 5.52% ROI)
  • 30-43 against the Over for game total points (-17.3 Units / -20.96% ROI)
  • 43-30 against the Under for game total points (+10.05 Units / 12.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (-27.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games at home (-18.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 38 games at home (-12.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 games at home (-12.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games at home (-11.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 42 away games (-19.85 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 away games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 47 away games (-15.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 away games (-14.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 away games (-11.45 Units / -61% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 25-6 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Nuggets are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Nuggets are 34-12 (.739) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Clippers are 14-3 (.824) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Clippers are 21-7 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Clippers are 24-6 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Clippers are 28-3 (.903) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Injury Report: Clippers vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • Norman Powell (Los Angeles Clippers): Ankle, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,428 assists/ 1,063 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,579/7,016) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 1.43 points per shot (1,107 points/772 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Clippers are shooting 49% (3,178/6,461) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Clippers have averaged 1.35 points per shot (8,701 points/6,461 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Clippers have averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,137 rebounds/75 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (536 steals/76 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,711) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers averaged 4.4 blocks per game (364 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Clippers averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,589 rebounds/75 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (580 steals/75 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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